The Hong Kong government just dropped duties on all alcoholic beverages, effective immediately (see story). The duty on wine had been 40% after having been cut from 80% the prior year. Financial Secretary, John Tsang, is betting on the behavior of free markets to turn this into an economic win for Hong Kong.
Hong Kong destined to be Asian trading hub for wine?
By forgoing approximately US$72 million a year in duties on all alcoholic beverages, Tsang commented that he expects wine-related trading activity may increase by as much as US$500 million. In particular, the historic status of Hong Kong as a trading hub has been reinforced and this move places Hong Kong in a position to capitalize on its current lead as the center of wine in Asia. Meanwhile, neighboring Macau, the new center of global gambling, has a 15% wine duty and mainland China's wine duty remains at around 50% (plus bottles are at risk of being "sampled" -- which effectively kills importing small quantities of rare wines).
Other Implications
- More foreign wine business will open offices and expand activity in Hong Kong. As previously noted, I'm traveling to Hong Kong on a previously scheduled trip this weekend to explore business opportunities. Acker Merrall & Condit just announced a few days ago that it is launching wine auctions in Hong Kong in May. The London International Vintners Exchange (Livex) has indicated its intentions to open an office if duties were dropped.
- Further upward pressure on fine wine prices - In April of last year, I wrote a post titled "Global factors affecting trend for higher fine wine prices." In it, I noted that the lowering of duties will drive more demand, which in a relatively fixed supply market for fine wine, supports longer term price rises. While Hong Kong's economy is relatively small, it could easily become the "funnel" for wine purchases from wine collectors in nearby high duty countries.
- Hong Kong wine storage facilities will boom - Hong Kong has limited local storage facilities for wine collectors. In fact, many local wine collectors are known to store their wine in London. Expect much of this wine to return to Hong Kong for storage where it will be more easily accessible by its owners. Hong Kong should also become the logical wine storage depot for wine collectors in nearby countries for the same reason.
What else do
you think will happen? Please add a comment to this post.